SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
32.82% ( 1.87) | 27.91% ( -0.02) | 39.27% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% ( 0.49) | 58.19% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( 0.38) | 78.84% ( -0.38) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( 1.59) | 32.93% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 1.73) | 69.51% ( -1.73) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.82) | 28.86% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -1.03) | 64.73% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.27% |
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