Although Lugano clearly possess far greater individual quality than their newly-promoted opponents, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's fans and players alike will be keen to lay down a marker in their first ever Super League match.
We can envisage them starting quickly, particularly if the atmosphere is as strong as expected, before the visitors get themselves back into the game. Sharing the spoils would not be regarded as a bad result for either team in their first game of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
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