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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34
May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
L

Basel
1 - 1
Lugano

Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
38.74% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.03% (0.012 0.01) 37.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.34% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)41.03% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (-0.064 -0.06)63.42% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.3% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)54.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.05% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55.39% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Basel 38.74%
    Lugano 37.23%
    Draw 24.03%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Gallen 6-1 Basel
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Basel
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 0-2 FC Zurich
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-4 Basel
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Sion 1-2 Basel
Thursday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 2-2 Lugano
Sunday, May 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 5-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, April 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 1-2 Lugano
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Sion
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Servette 0-0 Lugano
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Swiss Super League


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