Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Lugano |
38.74% (![]() | 24.03% (![]() | 37.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% (![]() | 41.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% (![]() | 63.42% (![]() |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% (![]() | 21.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% (![]() | 54.24% (![]() |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% (![]() | 22.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% (![]() | 55.39% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Basel | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 8.49% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 10.98% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.23% |
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