SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lugano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Winterthur |
59.27% ( -0.18) | 21.4% ( 0.14) | 19.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0.59) | 41.67% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.6) | 64.07% ( 0.59) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( -0.25) | 13.72% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.03% ( -0.49) | 40.97% ( 0.48) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% ( -0.31) | 35.26% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( -0.32) | 72.01% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.33% |
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