Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
48.34% (![]() | 23.19% (![]() | 28.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% (![]() | 40.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% (![]() | 62.5% (![]() |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% (![]() | 16.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.14% (![]() | 46.85% (![]() |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.24% (![]() | 26.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.97% (![]() | 62.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.43% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 4.19% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 10.58% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.98% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.47% |
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