SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
48.34% ( -0.05) | 23.19% ( 0.02) | 28.47% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.04) | 40.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -0.04) | 62.5% ( 0.04) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( -0.03) | 16.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( -0.06) | 46.85% ( 0.06) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0) | 26.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.97% ( 0.01) | 62.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 4.19% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.47% |
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