SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.64%) and 0-1 (6.64%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Lugano |
26.97% ( 0.02) | 21.66% | 51.36% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.02) | 33.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.27% ( 0.02) | 55.72% ( -0.02) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.02) | 24.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( 0.03) | 59% ( -0.03) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% | 13.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.39% | 40.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.24% 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.36% |
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