SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Servette in this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
53.5% ( -1.14) | 22.32% ( 0.83) | 24.18% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( -2.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.25% ( -3.63) | 39.75% ( 3.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.9% ( -3.88) | 62.1% ( 3.87) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( -1.61) | 14.9% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.74% ( -3.14) | 43.26% ( 3.14) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -1.74) | 29.73% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% ( -2.17) | 65.79% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.92)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.33)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.3)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.71)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.18% |
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