Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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