SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
32.34% ( 0.13) | 25.76% ( 0.04) | 41.89% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.15) | 49.83% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.13) | 71.83% ( 0.13) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.01) | 29.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( 0.01) | 64.93% ( -0.01) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.15) | 23.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -0.22) | 57.68% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.89% |
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