SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
66.9% ( 0.08) | 18.26% ( -0.03) | 14.84% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.87% ( 0.04) | 35.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0.04) | 57.13% ( -0.03) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( 0.03) | 9.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.65% ( 0.07) | 32.35% ( -0.06) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( -0.05) | 36.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( -0.04) | 73.25% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 4.35% Total : 66.9% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.26% | 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 14.84% |
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