Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Jersey Bulls had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.47%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Jersey Bulls win it was 1-0 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.23) 
