SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
70.18% ( 0.38) | 16.82% ( -0.09) | 13% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.6% ( -0.32) | 32.4% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.97% ( -0.37) | 54.02% ( 0.36) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.74% ( -0.01) | 8.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.14% | 28.85% ( -0.01) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.64) | 37.19% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% ( -0.64) | 73.97% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.41% Total : 70.18% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.82% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 13% |
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