Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Wrexham
45.57% ( -4.23)	26.16% ( 1.95)	28.27% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

-4.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86% (

-6.55)

53.14% (

6.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28% (

-5.85)

74.71% (

5.86)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

-4.51)

23.26% (

4.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81% (

-7.04)

57.18% (

7.04)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

-1.68)

33.61% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

-1.87)

70.26% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 45.57%

Wrexham 28.27%

Draw 26.16%

Stevenage	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 1.38) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.94) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.64) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.65) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.63) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.99) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 1.83) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.52) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1.69) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.27%