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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
S

Exeter
2 - 0
Stevenage

Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Exeter may have lost last weekend, but they tend to perform well in meetings with Stevenage, and we think that they will draw confidence from their impressive head-to-head record to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
36.71% (-0.252 -0.25) 27.52% (0.061 0.06) 35.77% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.232 -0.23)56.43% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.189 -0.19)77.44% (0.19 0.19)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)29.52% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.327 -0.33)65.54% (0.328 0.33)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.71%
    Stevenage 35.76%
    Draw 27.51%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Exeter (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Norwich 4-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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