Although Burton have been leaky in defence, they deserve credit for their draw at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing another stalemate here, albeit with fewer goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Stevenage
30.75% ( 0.2)	27.25% ( 0.01)	41.99% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71% (

0.03)

56.28% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

0.02)

77.32% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

0.16)

33.4% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

0.18)

70.03% (

-0.18)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

-0.1)

26.45% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

-0.13)

61.63% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 30.75%

Stevenage 41.99%

Draw 27.25%

Burton Albion	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.75%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.99%