Strasbourg and Nantes are both sitting level on 10 points, and we think that the two closely-matched sides could produce a cagey encounter which could result in the spoils being shared, especially as two of the hosts' last two home matches have finished all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.19) 
