SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
56.19% ( -0.29) | 22.71% ( 0.2) | 21.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.78) | 45.04% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -0.76) | 67.39% ( 0.75) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.37) | 15.84% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( -0.69) | 45.03% ( 0.68) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( -0.37) | 35.39% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( -0.38) | 72.16% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.1% |
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