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L
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
S

Lille
3 - 3
Strasbourg

Zhegrova (15', 27'), David (84' pen.)
Andre (64'), Diakite (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Santos (30'), Emegha (42'), Nanasi (66')
Sow (7'), Senaya (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg

While Lille's recent record paints a fairly grim picture, it is worth noting that three of their last four defeats have been against European opponents and PSG, and only the defeat to Les Parisiens was on their home patch. Strasbourg have looked impressive in attack this season, but we fancy the hosts to outscore them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
56.19% (-0.29 -0.29) 22.71% (0.202 0.2) 21.1% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.785 -0.78)45.04% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.758 -0.76)67.39% (0.752 0.75)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.371 -0.37)15.84% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (-0.686 -0.69)45.03% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.367 -0.37)35.39% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.379 -0.38)72.16% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Lille 56.18%
    Strasbourg 21.1%
    Draw 22.7%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Lille
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-3 PSG
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Angers
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Slavia Prague
Tuesday, August 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Strasbourg
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 10 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3


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