Finding their shooting boots on the road will be important for Nantes, as they have now gone almost six hours since their last league goal away from home - which conveniently enough came on this ground back in April.
While Nantes have only won one home game in 2024, form on the road has been much better, with five wins and four draws from 11 games, and paired with Montpellier's poor record at home, the visitors may just have the edge here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.55) 
