SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
49.19% ( -0.06) | 24.99% ( -0) | 25.81% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.05) | 50.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.05) | 72% ( -0.05) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( -0) | 20.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( -0.01) | 52.75% ( 0) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.08) | 33.91% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 0.08) | 70.58% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.18% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.81% |
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