SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Wolfsberger |
48.33% ( -0.31) | 24.91% ( -0.03) | 26.76% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( 0.37) | 49.02% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( 0.33) | 71.1% ( -0.33) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( 0.02) | 20.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( 0.02) | 52.7% ( -0.02) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.47) | 32.62% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( 0.52) | 69.16% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Wolfsberger |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 26.76% |
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