SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Austria Lustenau |
65.54% ( -0.13) | 19.47% ( 0.03) | 14.99% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 0.08) | 40.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.08) | 63.01% ( -0.08) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% ( -0.01) | 11.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.4% ( -0.02) | 36.6% ( 0.03) |
| Austria Lustenau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( 0.18) | 39.75% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( 0.17) | 76.42% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Austria Lustenau |
| 2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 65.53% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.99% |
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