SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
53.86% ( -0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 23.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( -0) | 44.64% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -0) | 67% ( 0) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.02) | 16.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% ( -0.03) | 46.24% ( 0.03) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( 0.03) | 33.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( 0.03) | 70.02% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.01% |
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