SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Sutton United |
47.28% ( 0.01) | 24.44% ( 0.01) | 28.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -0.03) | 45.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.03) | 68.29% ( 0.04) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.01) | 19.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% ( -0.02) | 51.44% ( 0.02) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( -0.02) | 29.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% ( -0.03) | 65.98% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.27% |
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