SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | York City |
46.65% ( -0.14) | 25.28% ( 0.01) | 28.06% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 0.04) | 49.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.03) | 71.73% ( -0.04) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( -0.05) | 21.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( -0.07) | 54.27% ( 0.06) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.11) | 31.97% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( 0.13) | 68.43% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.06% |
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