Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
49.56% ( -0.04) | 24.58% ( -0.02) | 25.87% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% ( 0.09) | 48.27% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% ( 0.09) | 70.41% ( -0.09) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( 0.02) | 19.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( 0.03) | 51.39% ( -0.04) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.06% ( 0.1) | 32.93% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% ( 0.11) | 69.51% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.87% |
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