Sweden U21s
3 - 0
Italy U21s

Almqvist (12'), Karlsson (29'), Henriksson (51')
Henriksson (32'), Erlingmark (45'), Dahlberg (58'), Nygren (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pinamonti (62'), Zanellato (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Sweden Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Sweden Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
28.03%	24.38%	47.59%

Both teams to score 56.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.13%

45.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.82%

68.18%

Sweden Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70%

30%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88%

66.12%

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.63%

19.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83%

51.16%

Score Analysis

Sweden Under-21s 28.03%

Italy Under-21s 47.59%

Draw 24.38%

Sweden Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.17% Total : 28.03%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 5.16% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.59%