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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Rasundastadion

Sweden U21s
3 - 0
Italy U21s

Almqvist (12'), Karlsson (29'), Henriksson (51')
Henriksson (32'), Erlingmark (45'), Dahlberg (58'), Nygren (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pinamonti (62'), Zanellato (82')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Sweden Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Sweden Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
28.03%24.38%47.59%
Both teams to score 56.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13%45.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82%68.18%
Sweden Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%30%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88%66.12%
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63%19.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83%51.16%
Score Analysis
    Sweden Under-21s 28.03%
    Italy Under-21s 47.59%
    Draw 24.38%
Sweden Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
1-0 @ 7%
2-1 @ 6.91%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 28.03%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 5.16%
0-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 47.59%


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