Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.