SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 4.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.75%) and 1-0 (13.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Syria | Draw | North Korea |
81.94% ( 0.05) | 13.29% ( -0.03) | 4.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 31.95% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.94% ( 0.02) | 45.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( 0.02) | 67.41% ( -0.02) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.37% ( 0.02) | 8.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.22% ( 0.04) | 29.78% ( -0.04) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.07) | 65.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.99% ( -0.03) | 93.01% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Syria | Draw | North Korea |
| 2-0 @ 16.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 13.75% 4-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.62% 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 81.93% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.29% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.08% Total : 4.77% |
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