SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Syria had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Syria |
51.64% ( -0.53) | 25.56% ( 0.01) | 22.8% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 47.87% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0.47) | 54.76% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( 0.39) | 76.07% ( -0.38) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.03) | 21.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( -0.05) | 54.14% ( 0.05) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( 0.78) | 39.23% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( 0.72) | 75.93% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Syria |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.8% |
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