SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Syria had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Syria win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Syria |
42.5% ( 0.28) | 26.68% ( -0) | 30.82% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.93% ( -0.09) | 54.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.5% ( -0.08) | 75.5% ( 0.08) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.1) | 25.18% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.14) | 59.91% ( -0.14) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.25) | 32.21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.28) | 68.7% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Syria |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.82% |
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