SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
26.41% ( 0.13) | 25.51% ( -0.08) | 48.08% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.41) | 51.68% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( 0.35) | 73.46% ( -0.35) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( 0.33) | 34.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( 0.35) | 71.01% ( -0.35) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( 0.15) | 21.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% ( 0.22) | 54.56% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.41% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.08% |
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