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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
N

Toulouse
1 - 2
Nantes

Dallinga (90+6')
Sierro (19'), Gboho (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mohamed (2'), Kadewere (51')
Sissoko (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-0 Nantes

With a huge clash in Europe against Benfica in Lisbon on the horizon in midweek, Toulouse must first attend to matters domestically, and recent form suggests they should get over the line with three points here. Nantes' awful form of late shows no sign of stopping anytime soon given their profligacy in attack, and they could end up being sucked in closer to the drop zone by the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
38.77% (0.188 0.19) 26.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 35.01% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.37 0.37)51.26% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.323 0.32)73.09% (-0.316 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.27499999999999 0.27)25.87% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.368 0.37)60.85% (-0.361 -0.36)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.124 0.12)28.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.153 0.15)63.7% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 38.77%
    Nantes 35.01%
    Draw 26.23%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Toulouse
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lens
Sunday, January 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 3-3 Toulouse (12-11 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Trophee des Champions
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Laval
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Clermont
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Pau 1-4 Nantes
Friday, January 5 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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