SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 79.17%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 7.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Istanbulspor |
79.17% ( 0.17) | 13.02% ( -0.03) | 7.8% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.42% ( -0.42) | 29.58% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.31% ( -0.51) | 50.68% ( 0.51) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.13% ( -0.06) | 5.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.5% ( -0.16) | 22.5% ( 0.16) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.23% ( -0.65) | 44.77% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.25% ( -0.53) | 80.75% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Istanbulspor |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.43% Total : 79.17% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)Other @ 1% Total : 13.02% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 7.8% |
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