SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.26%) and 1-0 (10.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Istanbulspor |
78.16% ( 0.02) | 14.43% ( -0.02) | 7.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% ( 0.1) | 38.78% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% ( 0.11) | 61.09% ( -0.1) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.94% ( 0.03) | 8.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.65% ( 0.07) | 28.35% ( -0.07) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.47% ( 0.07) | 52.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.65% ( 0.04) | 86.35% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Istanbulspor |
| 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 78.14% | 1-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.43% | 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 7.4% |
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