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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Bahcelievler Il Ozel Idare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
1 - 2
Karagumruk

Coly (85')
Vorobjovas (47'), Loshaj (90+8'), Coly (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yalcin (86'), Feghouli (90+7' pen.)
Gunter (22'), Mor (64'), Biraschi (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Fatih Karagumruk have dominated recent meetings, but Istanbulspor seem to be finally free from the mental shackles that held them following their last win. Both teams are shaky defensively, but we think that the home side could edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
17.02% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 21.72% (-0.49 -0.49) 61.25% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 50.39% (1.372 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (1.917 1.92)46.78% (-1.918 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (1.768 1.77)69.04% (-1.768 -1.77)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (1.047 1.05)40.88% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55% (0.924 0.92)77.45% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.825 0.83)14.77% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (1.556 1.56)43.02% (-1.557 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 17.02%
    Fatih Karagumruk 61.24%
    Draw 21.72%
IstanbulsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.61 -0.61)
0-2 @ 11.04% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 7.04% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.3% (0.22 0.22)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.176 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.12 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.29% (0.081 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-4 Caykur Rizespor
Tuesday, April 2 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Pendikspor 1-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, March 15 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, March 2 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, April 14 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, April 3 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 1-1 Karagumruk
Thursday, March 28 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Konyaspor
Friday, March 15 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 5-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-0 Karagumruk
Monday, March 4 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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