Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
Result | ||
Istanbulspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
17.02% ( -0.08) | 21.72% ( -0.49) | 61.25% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( 1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( 1.92) | 46.78% ( -1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( 1.77) | 69.04% ( -1.77) |
Istanbulspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.12% ( 1.05) | 40.88% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.55% ( 0.92) | 77.45% ( -0.92) |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( 0.83) | 14.77% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.98% ( 1.56) | 43.02% ( -1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Istanbulspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.02% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 11.04% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 3.37% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 61.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: