SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Sandefjord |
50.53% ( 0.07) | 22.84% ( 0.04) | 26.63% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.28) | 39.89% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.29) | 62.25% ( 0.3) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( -0.08) | 15.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.74% ( -0.14) | 45.26% ( 0.15) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.23) | 27.92% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -0.29) | 63.54% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.63% |
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