SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Sandefjord |
51.46% ( 0.24) | 21.8% ( -0.08) | 26.74% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 64.48% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.23) | 34.78% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.26) | 56.75% ( -0.26) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( 0.16) | 13.82% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.82% ( 0.31) | 41.18% ( -0.31) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.01) | 25.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0.01) | 59.89% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.46% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.74% |
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