SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Tromso IL |
33.94% ( -0.01) | 26.08% ( -0.01) | 39.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( 0.04) | 50.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 0.03) | 72.69% ( -0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( 0.01) | 28.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( 0.01) | 64.25% ( -0.02) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( 0.03) | 25.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% ( 0.04) | 59.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.94% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.97% |
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