SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Taunton Town |
53.04% ( 0.1) | 24.51% ( -0.02) | 22.45% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0) | 51.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0) | 72.92% ( 0.01) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.04) | 19.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( 0.06) | 50.89% ( -0.05) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.07) | 37.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( -0.08) | 74.27% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Taunton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.45% |
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