SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Truro City |
38.92% ( -0.01) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 35.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( -0.04) | 48.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.04) | 70.53% ( 0.04) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.02) | 24.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( -0.03) | 58.93% ( 0.04) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.02) | 26.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.02) | 61.53% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.92% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.5% |
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