SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Truro City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Truro City |
50.44% ( 2.37) | 25.61% ( -1.1) | 23.94% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( 3.08) | 53.96% ( -3.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 2.52) | 75.41% ( -2.52) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( 2.36) | 21.42% ( -2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( 3.51) | 54.42% ( -3.51) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0.55) | 37.7% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( 0.54) | 74.48% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.49)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.34% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -1.02)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.86) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.94% |
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