This is a really tricky match to call, with both sides picking up impressive wins last time out. Czech Republic shaded their contest in September, but we are expecting a very close game on Monday, with the points potentially being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Czech Republic
27.28% ( -0.07)	26.44% ( 0.02)	46.28% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

-0.1)

54.75% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0.08)

76.07% (

0.08)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74% (

-0.11)

35.25% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

-0.12)

72.01% (

0.11)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.02)

23.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0.02)

57.71% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 27.28%

Czech Republic 46.27%

Draw 26.43%

Ukraine	Draw	Czech Republic
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.28%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.27%