European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Portugal
2 - 1
Czech Republic

Hranac (69' og.), Conceicao (90+2')
Leao (39'), Conceicao (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Provod (62')
Schick (57')

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 3-0 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Georgia	0	0	0

Czech Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Georgia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Czech Republic
46.31% ( -3.49)	24.75% ( 1.45)	28.93% ( 2.04)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-3.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-5.14)

46.95% (

5.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-4.98)

69.2% (

4.98)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.66% (

-3.4)

20.34% (

3.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.27% (

-5.71)

52.73% (

5.71)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

-1.17)

29.9% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-1.44)

66% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Portugal 46.31%

Czech Republic 28.93%

Draw 24.75%

Portugal	Draw	Czech Republic
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 1.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.72) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.55) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.55) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.39) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.92) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 1.22) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( 1.27) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.93%