SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Georgia win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Czech Republic |
25.64% ( 0.03) | 23.74% ( -0.02) | 50.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( 0.12) | 44.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( 0.12) | 67.16% ( -0.12) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( 0.09) | 31.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( 0.1) | 67.62% ( -0.11) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( 0.04) | 17.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( 0.07) | 48.44% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Czech Republic |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 50.62% |
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