European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Volksparkstadion

Czech Republic
1 - 2
Turkey

Soucek (66')
Barak (11'), Schick (34'), Jaros (84'), Cerv (85'), Krejci (90+1'), Soucek (90+8')
Barak (20'), Chory (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Calhanoglu (51'), Tosun (90+4')
Ozcan (31'), Yildiz (37'), Yuksek (49'), Gunok (64'), Calhanoglu (66'), Cakir (68'), Muldur (80'), Akaydin (85'), Ayhan (90+5'), Kokcu (90+5'), Guler (90+8')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, June 22 at 2pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	4	6
2	Turkey	2	-1	3
3	Czech Republic	2	-1	1
4	Georgia	2	-2	1

Turkey

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Turkey 0-3 Portugal
Saturday, June 22 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	4	6
2	Turkey	2	-1	3
3	Czech Republic	2	-1	1
4	Georgia	2	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Turkey in this match.

Result
Czech Republic	Draw	Turkey
52.28% ( 0.06)	22.15% ( 0.09)	25.56% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 61.98% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.44% (

-0.56)

37.56% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.21% (

-0.61)

59.79% (

0.6)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

-0.18)

14.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

-0.35)

42.57% (

0.34)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

-0.41)

27.47% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

-0.53)

62.97% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Czech Republic 52.28%

Turkey 25.56%

Draw 22.15%

Czech Republic	Draw	Turkey
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.29% Total : 52.28%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.15%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 25.56%