J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Despite the fact that the Red Diamonds will be disappointed with their season so far, they have still scored more and conceded fewer than Jublio.
Additionally, considering the hosts have the division's joint third-best offensive record, they could once again look to generate a number of chances on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Jubilo Iwata |
51.56% ( -0.21) | 23.85% ( 0.05) | 24.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0) |
| 53.77% ( -0.08) | 46.23% ( 0.08) |
| 31.48% ( -0.07) | 68.52% ( 0.08) |
| 82.06% ( -0.11) | 17.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.19) | 48.76% ( 0.19) |
| 67.11% ( 0.08) | 32.89% ( -0.08) |
