Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.