Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
42.35% ( 0.08)	25.59% ( 0.01)	32.06% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-0.06)

49.19% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74% (

-0.05)

71.26% (

0.05)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

0.01)

23.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

0.02)

56.95% (

-0.02)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

-0.08)

28.9% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-0.1)

64.77% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 42.35%

Shonan Bellmare 32.06%

Draw 25.59%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.06%