J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium
We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds
With two sides who have experienced similar campaigns thus far, including recent ruts, we anticipate a tight contest on Wednesday which could be settled by a single goal.
While the visitors fought hard to earn a point against Kashima Antlers last time out, they may fall just short away at a Nagoya Grampus side full of quality with their own need to end a winless streak.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
27.47% ( 0.16) | 26.73% ( 0.01) | 45.8% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( 0.09) |
| 44.26% ( 0.06) | 55.74% ( -0.06) |
| 23.12% ( 0.05) | 76.88% ( -0.05) |
| 64.37% ( 0.16) | 35.63% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.6% ( 0.16) | 72.4% ( -0.16) |
| 75.71% ( -0.05) | 24.29% ( 0.05) |
