Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: USA 2-0 Guinea
Team USA showed their class against New Zealand at the weekend and will be licking their lips as they take on an inexperienced Guinea side who have endured a difficult campaign. We predict Mitrovic's men will pick up where they left off last time out and secure all three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea U23s win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea U23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest USA Under-23s win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that USA Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| USA Under-23s | Draw | Guinea U23s |
23.85% ( 0.06) | 23.74% ( -0.01) | 52.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.09) |
| 53.51% ( 0.09) | 46.49% ( -0.09) |
| 31.24% ( 0.09) | 68.76% ( -0.08) |
| 66.33% ( 0.1) | 33.67% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.11) | 70.32% ( -0.11) |
| 82.29% ( 0.02) | 17.71% ( -0.02) |
